Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 24, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Stadio Toumbas
PAOK3 - 2Borac Banja Luka
FT(HT: 2-2)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aris 1-2 PAOK
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Egnatia Rrogozhine 2-1 Borac Banja Luka (1-4 pen.)
Wednesday, July 17 at 8pm in Champions League
Wednesday, July 17 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: PAOK 3-1 Borac Banja Luka
Given that Borac Banja Luka struggled to take advantage of a weakened Egnatia Rrogozhine, they could find it difficult once again on Wednesday. Additionally, PAOK boss Razvan Lucescu will be confident of victory given his side recently won their second title in 2023-24. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 51.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Borac Banja Luka had a probability of 24.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Borac Banja Luka win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PAOK | Draw | Borac Banja Luka |
51.51% ( 2.27) | 24.26% ( -0.05) | 24.23% ( -2.23) |
| Both teams to score 53.35% ( -2.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
