Porto

2 - 0

Olympiacos

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.