Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Oct 17, 2020 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Sporting Lisbon2 - 2Porto
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Porto.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Porto |
| 28.33% | 25.52% | 46.14% |
| Both teams to score 52.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
