Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 7, 2021 at 5.45pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
4 - 1
Brugge

Mbappe (2', 7'), Messi (38', 76' pen.)
Kehrer (55'), Mbappe (70')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Rits (68')
Lang (61')

PSG's Lionel Messi joins elite crowd with Club Brugge goal

Lionel Messi joins an elite group of Paris Saint-Germain players with his strike against Club Brugge in the Champions League on Wednesday night.

Dec 7, 18:59

Kylian Mbappe celebrates scoring for Paris Saint-Germain against Club Brugge on December 2021

Kylian Mbappe sets new Champions League goalscoring record

Paris Saint-Germain's Kylian Mbappe becomes the fastest player to hit 30 Champions League goals with his opener against Club Brugge on Tuesday.

Dec 7, 18:15

The Match

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Club Brugge

Shipping 14 goals in their last three Champions League games - as well as at least two in their last seven in all tournaments - is seemingly a recipe for disaster for Brugge, but PSG have not exactly been ruthless in recent days. Some expected alterations on the hosts' end could also have Clement's side stepping out onto the turf with a sense of optimism, but Pochettino's men will still expect to march to a routine win in front of their own fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Club Brugge had a probability of 17.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Club Brugge win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Club Brugge
59.24%	23.46%	17.29%

Both teams to score 45.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.7%

53.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.15%

74.85%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.29%

17.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.63%

48.37%

Club Brugge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.58%

44.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.53%

80.47%

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 59.23%

Club Brugge 17.29%

Draw 23.46%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Club Brugge
1-0 @ 13.61% 2-0 @ 11.78% 2-1 @ 9.56% 3-0 @ 6.8% 3-1 @ 5.52% 4-0 @ 2.94% 4-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2.24% 5-0 @ 1.02% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.4% Total : 59.23%	1-1 @ 11.05% 0-0 @ 7.87% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.66% Total : 23.46%	0-1 @ 6.38% 1-2 @ 4.48% 0-2 @ 2.59% 1-3 @ 1.21% 2-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.57% Total : 17.29%