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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.36%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
29.15% | 28.69% | 42.15% |
Both teams to score 44.27% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.12% | 61.87% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.35% | 81.64% |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.37% | 37.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.59% | 74.4% |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.98% | 29.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.08% | 64.91% |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
1-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 6.45% 2-0 @ 5.22% 3-1 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 1.7% 3-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.71% Total : 29.15% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 10.91% 2-2 @ 3.99% Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.68% | 0-1 @ 13.5% 0-2 @ 8.36% 1-2 @ 8.17% 0-3 @ 3.45% 1-3 @ 3.37% 2-3 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.07% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.55% Total : 42.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |