Championship

Championship | Gameweek 33

May 3, 2022 at 7pm UK

Dean Court

Bournemouth
1 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Moore (83')
Travers (90+6'), Solanke (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-0)

McKenna (82'), Spence (90+1')

Bournemouth seal return to Premier League by beating Nottingham Forest

Bournemouth secure a return to the Premier League with a 1-0 victory over Championship promotion rivals Nottingham Forest on Tuesday evening.

May 3, 20:59

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Bournemouth and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

Last Six:

Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Fulham	46	63	90
2	Bournemouth	46	35	88
3	Huddersfield Town	46	17	82

Nottingham Forest

Last Six:

Last Game: Huddersfield 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, May 29 at 4.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Huddersfield Town	46	17	82
4	Nottingham Forest	46	33	80
5	Sheffield United	46	18	75

We said: Bournemouth 1-1 Nottingham Forest

With both clubs on an upward trajectory, this should prove to be a high-quality encounter. Although victory could act as the catalyst for even greater things to come, there is also value in a share of the spoils for these two teams, more so for Bournemouth, and we can see a competitive draw being played out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 54.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 20.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bournemouth in this match.

Result
Bournemouth	Draw	Nottingham Forest
54.22%	25.1%	20.67%

Both teams to score 46.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.84%

55.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.6%

76.4%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.67%

20.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.28%

52.72%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.39%

41.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.91%

78.09%

Score Analysis

Bournemouth 54.21%

Nottingham Forest 20.67%

Draw 25.1%

Bournemouth	Draw	Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 13.47% 2-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 9.41% 3-0 @ 5.7% 3-1 @ 5% 4-0 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.99% Other @ 3.45% Total : 54.21%	1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 8.46% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.1%	0-1 @ 7.42% 1-2 @ 5.18% 0-2 @ 3.25% 1-3 @ 1.52% 2-3 @ 1.21% 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.15% Total : 20.67%