Championship

Championship | Gameweek 3

Aug 13, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff
1 - 0
Birmingham

Philogene-Bidace (17')
Ojo (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hogan (51'), James (70'), Trusty (90'), Colin (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

Last Six:

Last Game: Cardiff 0-3 Portsmouth
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Queens Park Rangers	2	0	3
9	Cardiff City	2	0	3
10	Millwall	2	0	3

Birmingham City

Last Six:

Last Game: Norwich 2-2 Birmingham (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Sunderland	2	1	4
4	Birmingham City	2	1	4
5	Hull City	2	1	4

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Birmingham City

This is a difficult match to call, particularly with Birmingham continuing to impress despite the negative pre-season predictions. Although we fancy the visitors to have their moments in South Wales, Cardiff will want to bounce back from the embarrassment in midweek, something that we feel they will achieve in a hard-fought contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cardiff City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cardiff City.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Birmingham City
41.16% ( -0.04)	27.74% ( 0.03)	31.1% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 47.68% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42% (

-0.11)

58% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.31% (

-0.09)

78.69% (

0.09)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.3% (

-0.07)

27.7% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.74% (

-0.1)

63.26% (

0.1)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.95% (

-0.05)

34.05% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.26% (

-0.05)

70.74% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 41.15%

Birmingham City 31.09%

Draw 27.74%

Cardiff City	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 12.1% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.77% 3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.85% Total : 41.15%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.74%	0-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 31.09%