Championship

Championship | Gameweek 1

Jul 30, 2022 at 3pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
0 - 0
Birmingham

Bacuna (35'), Sanderson (50'), Woods (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Luton 1-1 West Ham
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Hull City	0	0	0
9	Luton Town	0	0	0
10	Middlesbrough	0	0	0

Birmingham City

Last Six:

Last Game: Cheltenham 1-0 Birmingham
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Burnley	1	1	3
2	Birmingham City	0	0	0
3	Blackburn Rovers	0	0	0

We said: Luton Town 1-0 Birmingham City

On paper, there appears to be little splitting these sides, but in reality they are two teams likely heading in different directions. We do not envisage many goals on Saturday, but the hosts should have enough about them to earn three points and get their season off to a winning start. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luton Town win with a probability of 50.37%. A draw has a probability of 26.5% and a win for Birmingham City has a probability of 23.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Birmingham City win it is 0-1 (8.43%).

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Birmingham City
50.37% ( -0.03)	26.47% ( -0.06)	23.16% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 45.75% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.26% (

0.31)

57.74% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.52% (

0.24)

78.49% (

-0.24)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.97% (

0.12)

23.03% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.15% (

0.17)

56.85% (

-0.16)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.44% (

0.28)

40.57% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.83% (

0.25)

77.17% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 50.36%

Birmingham City 23.16%

Draw 26.47%

Luton Town	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 13.71% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 50.36%	1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.47%	0-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.28% Total : 23.16%