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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Birmingham logo

Cardiff
1 - 1
Birmingham

Vaulks (82' pen.)
McGuinness (48'), Drameh (57'), Nelson (67'), Vaulks (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bela (22')
Gordon (58'), Etheridge (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Blackburn
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Birmingham City

Neither side come into this game on good form but Birmingham appear much more in freefall than Cardiff, who are already beginning to plan for next season. The Blues' woeful away record also suggests that they will not get anything from their trip to Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawBirmingham City
44.39%26.22%29.38%
Both teams to score 51.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.15%52.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.53%74.46%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3%23.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.19%57.81%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.38%32.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.83%69.16%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 44.38%
    Birmingham City 29.38%
    Draw 26.22%
Cardiff CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.12%
2-1 @ 8.98%
2-0 @ 8.01%
3-1 @ 4.31%
3-0 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 44.38%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 7.73%
2-2 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.66%
1-2 @ 6.98%
0-2 @ 4.85%
1-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 29.38%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Birmingham

Cardiff City
42.9%
Draw
47.6%
Birmingham City
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
2-2
Cardiff
Deeney (29'), Sunjic (45+1')
Sunjic (63'), Friend (85')
Moore (66'), McGuinness (90+1')
Nelson (16'), Ralls (72')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-4
Cardiff

Dean (84')
Wilson (9', 40', 86'), Harris (68')
Pack (61')
Dec 16, 2020 7pm
Cardiff
3-2
Birmingham
Glatzel (10'), Wilson (78'), Morrison (89')
Bacuna (28'), Ojo (43')
Roberts (31'), Sanchez (57')
Toral (21'), Colin (53')
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Cardiff
4-2
Birmingham
Ralls (30' pen., 69', 94' pen.), Nelson (38')
Peltier (92')
Ward (52')
Pedersen (3'), Sunjic (89')
Sunjic (32'), Jutkiewicz (85'), Roberts (94')
Dean (92')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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