Ipswich4 - 3Blackburn
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in Championship
Wednesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
We said: Ipswich Town 3-1 Blackburn Rovers
Blackburn have shown this season that they are capable of winning against the odds and losing when they are favourites. Nevertheless, despite their underdog status heading into this fixture, we cannot look beyond Ipswich posting another maximum haul and extending their outstanding start to 2023-24. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
46.75% ( 1.57) | 23.57% ( 0.27) | 29.68% ( -1.85) |
| Both teams to score 60.4% ( -2.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.84% ( -2.26) | 41.16% ( 2.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.44% ( -2.34) | 63.55% ( 2.34) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.14% ( -0.27) | 17.85% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.38% ( -0.46) | 48.61% ( 0.46) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.53% ( -2.27) | 26.46% ( 2.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.35% ( -3.12) | 61.64% ( 3.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.74)2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.59)3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.76% Total : 46.75% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.27)0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.47)3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.57% | 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.33)2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.31)0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.19)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.27% Total : 29.68% |
