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Championship | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Stoke logo

Ipswich
2 - 0
Stoke

Woolfenden (23'), Jackson (81')
Hladky (51'), Donacien (77'), Morsy (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rose (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Ipswich Town 1-1 Stoke City

While Ipswich are the narrow favourites for this contest, Stoke have put together a squad capable of a promotion push this year. With that in mind, we feel that a competitive draw is the most likely outcome, one which neither side will turn down. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 53.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 22.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawStoke City
53.98% (-0.286 -0.29) 23.16% (0.090999999999998 0.09) 22.85% (0.194 0.19)
Both teams to score 55.28% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.02% (-0.192 -0.19)44.98% (0.189 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.67% (-0.183 -0.18)67.33% (0.18300000000001 0.18)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.41% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)16.59% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.61% (-0.306 -0.31)46.38% (0.303 0.3)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27% (0.067999999999998 0.07)33.72% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.62% (0.076000000000001 0.08)70.38% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 53.98%
    Stoke City 22.85%
    Draw 23.16%
Ipswich TownDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.04% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.41% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 53.98%
1-1 @ 10.92% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.16%
0-1 @ 6.08% (0.061 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.94% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.3% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 22.85%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Stoke

Ipswich Town
45.5%
Draw
18.2%
Stoke City
36.4%
33
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 33
Ipswich
1-1
Stoke
Keane (92')
McClean (42')
McClean (33')
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 21
Stoke
2-0
Ipswich
Ince (45'), Allen (60')
Pieters (78')

Edwards (66')
Feb 23, 2008 3pm
Jan 12, 2008 3pm
Ipswich
1-1
Stoke
Haynes (19')
De Vos (65'), Legwinski (88'), Haynes (90')
Fuller (33')
Fuller (67'), Cresswell (79')
Jan 30, 2007 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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