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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 53.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 22.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Stoke City |
53.98% ( -0.29) | 23.16% ( 0.09) | 22.85% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 55.28% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.02% ( -0.19) | 44.98% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.67% ( -0.18) | 67.33% ( 0.18) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.41% ( -0.17) | 16.59% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.61% ( -0.31) | 46.38% ( 0.3) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.27% ( 0.07) | 33.72% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.62% ( 0.08) | 70.38% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.17% Total : 53.98% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.16% | 0-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 22.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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