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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 58.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 19.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 1-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Leeds United |
58.85% ( 1.49) | 21.18% ( -0.02) | 19.97% ( -1.47) |
Both teams to score 57.77% ( -2.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.32% ( -1.97) | 39.68% ( 1.96) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.97% ( -2.07) | 62.03% ( 2.07) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.79% ( -0.2) | 13.2% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.07% ( -0.4) | 39.93% ( 0.39) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.56% ( -2.52) | 33.44% ( 2.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.93% ( -2.85) | 70.07% ( 2.85) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Leeds United |
2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.68) 1-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.73) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.42) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.19) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.52% Total : 58.85% | 1-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.39) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.18% | 1-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.22% Total : 19.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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