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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Leeds logo

Ipswich
3 - 4
Leeds

Rodon (7' og.), Broadhead (45+7'), Chaplin (90+7')
Morsy (45+5'), Luongo (56'), Woolfenden (87')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Rutter (10'), Gnonto (14'), Piroe (19'), Sinisterra (75')
Shackleton (52'), Meslier (59'), Ayling (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 0-1 Ipswich
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Ipswich Town 2-1 Leeds United

It is hard to look past this Ipswich Town side at present, particularly on home turf, given the momentum they hold under Kieran McKenna, and while Leeds do still possess plenty of quality and will travel desperate for a result, we back the Tractor Boys to make it four wins on the bounce on their return to the Championship. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 58.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 19.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 1-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawLeeds United
58.85% (1.485 1.49) 21.18% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 19.97% (-1.467 -1.47)
Both teams to score 57.77% (-2.318 -2.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.32% (-1.966 -1.97)39.68% (1.962 1.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.97% (-2.074 -2.07)62.03% (2.069 2.07)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.79% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)13.2% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.07% (-0.39700000000001 -0.4)39.93% (0.393 0.39)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.56% (-2.515 -2.52)33.44% (2.511 2.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.93% (-2.852 -2.85)70.07% (2.848 2.85)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 58.85%
    Leeds United 19.97%
    Draw 21.18%
Ipswich TownDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.093 0.09)
2-0 @ 9.05% (0.681 0.68)
1-0 @ 8.94% (0.733 0.73)
3-1 @ 6.69% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.11% (0.419 0.42)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.253 -0.25)
4-1 @ 3.39% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.09% (0.191 0.19)
4-2 @ 1.86% (-0.143 -0.14)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.25% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 58.85%
1-1 @ 9.79% (0.163 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.332 -0.33)
0-0 @ 4.41% (0.391 0.39)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.195 -0.2)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.18%
1-2 @ 5.36% (-0.287 -0.29)
0-1 @ 4.84% (0.115 0.12)
0-2 @ 2.65% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.271 -0.27)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.252 -0.25)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 19.97%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Leeds

Ipswich Town
64.7%
Draw
13.7%
Leeds United
21.6%
51
Head to Head
May 5, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Ipswich
3-2
Leeds
Downes (30'), Dozzell (47'), Quaner (90')
Jackson (75'), Nsiala (84')
Chambers (79')
Klich (45'), Dallas (76')
Casilla (28')
Oct 24, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Leeds
2-0
Ipswich
Roofe (22'), Cooper (66')
Berardi (15')

Nolan (5'), Downes (31'), Knudsen (50')
Jan 13, 2018 3pm
Ipswich
1-0
Leeds
Celina (67')
Connolly (55'), Iorfa (60')

Jansson (80'), Phillips (87')
O'Kane (37')
Sep 23, 2017 3pm
Leeds
3-2
Ipswich
Lasogga (13'), Phillips (32'), Bialkowski (67' og.)
Cooper (72')
McGoldrick (30'), Garner (71')
Spence (3'), Knudsen (37')
Feb 18, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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