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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
QPR logo

Luton
3 - 1
QPR

Adebayo (18'), Dunne (77' og.), Freeman (90+3')
Clark (44'), Lansbury (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Horvath (90+1' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Luton
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-1 Reading
Friday, October 7 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Queens Park Rangers

We can envisage a closely-fought encounter between two competitive teams on Saturday, with a share of the spoils probably the most likely outcome. Both teams have been impressive defensively of late so they could struggle to create chances against each other, especially with Willock's potential absence for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 49.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 24.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawQueens Park Rangers
49.43% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 25.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 24.98% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.02% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.93% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)53.07% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.34% (-0.044 -0.04)74.66% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)21.49% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.46% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)54.54% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.72% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)36.28% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.93% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)73.07% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 49.42%
    Queens Park Rangers 24.98%
    Draw 25.59%
Luton TownDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 11.98% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.22% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 4.72% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 49.42%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 7.8% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 7.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 24.98%

How you voted: Luton vs QPR

Luton Town
22.0%
Draw
11.9%
Queens Park Rangers
66.1%
59
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 12pm
Luton
1-2
QPR
Jerome (37')
Gray (55' pen.), Dickie (83')
Chair (45+4'), Amos (87'), Wallace (90+5')
Nov 19, 2021 7.45pm
QPR
2-0
Luton
Willock (10'), Austin (55')
Dozzell (59'), Austin (75'), Dickie (90')

Lansbury (13'), Bradley (54'), Adebayo (57')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
QPR
3-1
Luton
Austin (20'), Johansen (60'), Adomah (90')
Austin (1')
Dewsbury-Hall (43')
Rea (45')
Jan 12, 2021 7pm
Luton
0-2
QPR
Austin (39'), Bonne (88')
Bonne (89')
Jul 14, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd39267656292783
2Leeds UnitedLeeds392312478275181
3Burnley392215253114281
4Sunderland392012756371972
5Coventry CityCoventry39178145651559
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom391318848351357
7Middlesbrough391691459491057
8Bristol City391415104942757
9Watford39158164751-453
10Norwich CityNorwich391313136154752
11Blackburn RoversBlackburn39157174241152
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds391410155460-652
13Millwall391312143740-351
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR391112164553-845
16Swansea CitySwansea39129184051-1145
17Portsmouth39129184761-1445
18Stoke CityStoke391012174052-1242
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd391012174057-1742
20Hull City391011183948-941
21Cardiff CityCardiff39913174363-2040
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton39108213560-2538
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth39713194077-3734


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