Championship | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Luton3 - 1QPR
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Luton
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-1 Reading
Friday, October 7 at 8pm in Championship
Friday, October 7 at 8pm in Championship
We said: Luton Town 1-1 Queens Park Rangers
We can envisage a closely-fought encounter between two competitive teams on Saturday, with a share of the spoils probably the most likely outcome. Both teams have been impressive defensively of late so they could struggle to create chances against each other, especially with Willock's potential absence for the visitors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 49.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 24.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
49.43% ( 0.02) | 25.6% ( 0.01) | 24.98% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.02% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.93% ( -0.05) | 53.07% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.34% ( -0.04) | 74.66% ( 0.05) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.51% ( -0.01) | 21.49% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.46% ( -0.02) | 54.54% ( 0.02) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.72% ( -0.05) | 36.28% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.93% ( -0.06) | 73.07% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Luton Town 49.42%
Queens Park Rangers 24.98%
Draw 25.59%
| Luton Town | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.72% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 49.42% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 1.87% Total : 24.98% |
How you voted: Luton vs QPR
Luton Town
22.0%Draw
11.9%Queens Park Rangers
66.1%59
