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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
QPR logo

Bristol City
1 - 2
QPR

Wells (61')
Williams (53'), Massengo (76'), Scott (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Johansen (19'), T (22')
Amos (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 0-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Queens Park Rangers

Although QPR had been building a head of steam before the international break, it remains to be seen how they will react to the enforced break. For us, it can only have helped Bristol City, leading to us to back a low-scoring draw at Ashton Gate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 37%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 36.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
36.68% (-0.445 -0.45) 26.31% (-0.129 -0.13) 37% (0.57100000000001 0.57)
Both teams to score 53.18% (0.433 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.49% (0.546 0.55)51.51% (-0.548 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.69% (0.473 0.47)73.31% (-0.477 -0.48)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.83% (0.00099999999999056 0)27.17% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.43% (0.0020000000000024 0)62.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.02% (0.59100000000001 0.59)26.98% (-0.594 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.67% (0.767 0.77)62.33% (-0.77099999999999 -0.77)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 36.68%
    Queens Park Rangers 37%
    Draw 26.31%
Bristol CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 9.55% (-0.211 -0.21)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.22% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 36.68%
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.33% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 9.6% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.2% (0.095999999999998 0.1)
0-2 @ 6.29% (0.073 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.75% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.065 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 37%

How you voted: Bristol City vs QPR

Bristol City
31.4%
Draw
28.6%
Queens Park Rangers
40.0%
35
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
1-2
QPR
Scott (3')
King (45+3'), Weimann (67')
King (56')
Austin (45+3' pen.), Barbet (90+3')
Dunne (22'), Dykes (65'), Field (74')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
QPR
1-2
Bristol City
McCallum (54')
Gray (51'), Barbet (79'), Ball (85'), Johansen (89')
Martin (45'), Wells (90+2')
Bakinson (53')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Bristol City
0-2
QPR

Lansbury (85'), Diedhiou (88')
Chair (11'), Dickie (22')
Kakay (71'), Dickie (74'), Ball (76')
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
QPR
1-2
Bristol City
Dickie (12')
Dickie (27'), Carroll (69')
Wells (40'), Nagy (50')
Wells (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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