Championship

Championship | Gameweek 12

Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK

Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol City
1 - 2
QPR

Wells (61')
Williams (53'), Massengo (76'), Scott (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Johansen (19'), T (22')
Amos (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Bristol City
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Queens Park Rangers

All competitions

Last Game: QPR 0-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Queens Park Rangers

Although QPR had been building a head of steam before the international break, it remains to be seen how they will react to the enforced break. For us, it can only have helped Bristol City, leading to us to back a low-scoring draw at Ashton Gate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 37%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 36.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Queens Park Rangers
36.68% ( -0.45)	26.31% ( -0.13)	37% ( 0.57)

Both teams to score 53.18% (

0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.49% (

0.55)

51.51% (

-0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.69% (

0.47)

73.31% (

-0.48)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.83% (

27.17% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.43% (

62.57% (

-0.01)

Queens Park Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.02% (

0.59)

26.98% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.67% (

0.77)

62.33% (

-0.77)

Score Analysis

Bristol City 36.68%

Queens Park Rangers 37%

Draw 26.31%

Bristol City	Draw	Queens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 36.68%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.08% Total : 37%