QPR3 - 1Watford
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, December 29 at 12.30pm in Championship
for
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship
for
We said: Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Watford
QPR will begin the new year with a tricky test, but they will take plenty of confidence from their recent run of three consecutive home victories. With that in mind, we think that the R's will make full use of home advantage again to claim a narrow victory over Watford at Loftus Road. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Watford had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Watford |
41.07% ( 0.65) | 25.88% ( 0.07) | 33.04% ( -0.72) |
| Both teams to score 54.05% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.85% ( -0.45) | 50.15% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.88% ( -0.4) | 72.12% ( 0.41) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.84% ( 0.13) | 24.15% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.53% ( 0.19) | 58.47% ( -0.18) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% ( -0.67) | 28.73% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.43% ( -0.85) | 64.57% ( 0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 41.08% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.66% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.04% |
