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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 49.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 24.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
49.71% ( -2.38) | 25.7% ( 0.3) | 24.59% ( 2.08) |
Both teams to score 49.35% ( 1.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.23% ( 0.64) | 53.77% ( -0.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.75% ( 0.54) | 75.24% ( -0.54) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.34% ( -0.75) | 21.66% ( 0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.21% ( -1.16) | 54.79% ( 1.16) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.99% ( 2.3) | 37.01% ( -2.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.2% ( 2.22) | 73.8% ( -2.22) |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
1-0 @ 12.26% ( -0.6) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.68) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.47) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 49.71% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.25) Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.45) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.38) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.26) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.2) Other @ 1.75% Total : 24.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 29 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 25 |
4 | Burnley | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Watford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Bristol City | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
11 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
15 | Hull City | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
17 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 9 |
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