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Championship | Gameweek 27
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
QPR logo

Watford
4 - 0
QPR

Dele-Bashiru (1'), Louza (20'), Martins (38'), Issouf Bayo (43')
Morris (45+1')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Armstrong (67'), Field (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crystal Palace 2-1 Watford
Saturday, July 22 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Oxford Utd 5-0 QPR
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Watford 2-0 Queens Park Rangers

Watford are set for a new era under the tutelage of Ismael, and the home faithful can expect a fast start from their side against a QPR team who were thrashed recently at Oxford United. The R's need a response after their 5-0 loss at the Kassam Stadium last time out, but we are predicting a defeat for Ainsworth's men to start their second-tier campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 49.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 24.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawQueens Park Rangers
49.71% (-2.38 -2.38) 25.7% (0.302 0.3) 24.59% (2.079 2.08)
Both teams to score 49.35% (1.348 1.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.23% (0.64299999999999 0.64)53.77% (-0.642 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.75% (0.538 0.54)75.24% (-0.538 -0.54)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (-0.75 -0.75)21.66% (0.751 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.21% (-1.158 -1.16)54.79% (1.16 1.16)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.99% (2.302 2.3)37.01% (-2.301 -2.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.2% (2.217 2.22)73.8% (-2.216 -2.22)
Score Analysis
    Watford 49.71%
    Queens Park Rangers 24.59%
    Draw 25.69%
WatfordDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 12.26% (-0.6 -0.6)
2-0 @ 9.38% (-0.681 -0.68)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.78% (-0.468 -0.47)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.074 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.226 -0.23)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-2 @ 0.9% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 49.71%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 8.02% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.246 0.25)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 7.97% (0.294 0.29)
1-2 @ 6.06% (0.45 0.45)
0-2 @ 3.96% (0.377 0.38)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.262 0.26)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.169 0.17)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.197 0.2)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 24.59%

How you voted: Watford vs QPR

Watford
72.1%
Draw
13.1%
Queens Park Rangers
14.8%
61
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
QPR
1-0
Watford
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Watford
2-3
QPR

Kamara (84'), Kabasele (90')
Adomah (70')
Dieng (81'), Dozzell (85')
Feb 1, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Watford
1-2
QPR
Deeney (52' pen.)
Sierralta (54'), Navarro (90+4')
Austin (73'), Adomah (90')
Wallace (34')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
QPR
1-1
Watford
Chair (77')
Dykes (90+1')
Wilmot (3')
Sema (59'), Cathcart (85')
Jul 27, 2019 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
QPR
0-1
Watford
Capoue (31')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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