Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.