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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Portsmouth

Watford
2 - 1
Portsmouth

Kayembe (57' pen.), Vata (90+5')
Baah (30'), Kayembe (59')
Baah (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Swanson (11')
Mousinho (31'), Pack (57'), Schmid (59'), Murphy (60'), Lang (64'), Swanson (75'), Moxon (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Watford and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Watford
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 4-1 Coventry
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Watford 3-1 Portsmouth

Portsmouth may have enjoyed success in their recent home outing against Coventry, but they struggled to produce their best form on the road this season, and given their poor away record against Watford, we think that they will be left empty-handed in their Boxing Day clash with the Hornets. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 56.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawPortsmouth
56.73% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06) 24.07% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 19.2% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 47.26% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.98% (0.026999999999994 0.03)53.02% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.39% (0.021999999999998 0.02)74.61% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.47% (-0.012 -0.01)18.53% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.23% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)49.77% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.01% (0.075000000000003 0.08)41.99% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.58% (0.065999999999999 0.07)78.42% (-0.062999999999988 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Watford 56.72%
    Portsmouth 19.2%
    Draw 24.07%
WatfordDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 13.11% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 11.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.21% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 2.62% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.27% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 56.72%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.94% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.43% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 19.2%

How you voted: Watford vs Portsmouth

Watford
Draw
Portsmouth
Watford
74.5%
Draw
17.6%
Portsmouth
7.8%
51
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2012 3pm
Nov 19, 2011 3pm
Jan 1, 2011 3pm
Watford
3-0
Portsmouth
Taylor (42'), Sordell (52'), Graham (69')

Dickinson (57'), Utaka (74')
Halford (90')
Oct 16, 2010 3pm
Portsmouth
3-2
Watford
Brown (80'), Mullins (17'), Kitson (72')
Mokoena (33'), Nugent (56'), Kitson (89')
Taylor (67')
Eustace (43')
Apr 9, 2007 3pm
Watford
4-2
Portsmouth
Mahon (46'), Bouazza (73', 28' pen.), Priskin (51')
Taylor (16')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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