Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 23.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 1-0 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.