Championship

Championship | Gameweek 31

Feb 19, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
2 - 1
Derby

Pedro (19'), Hughes (21')
Hughes (20'), Cleverley (42')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Troost-Ekong (77' og.)
Buchanan (45'), Byrne (90+1')

Wayne Rooney feels Derby were denied "clear goal" in Watford loss

Colin Kazim-Richards was denied by the referee's whistle in the Rams' 2-1 defeat at Watford.

Feb 19, 22:49

The Match

Match Report

Joao Pedro and Will Hughes were on target in the 2-1 success.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Watford and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 46.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 26.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Derby County
46.95%	26.88%	26.16%

Both teams to score 47.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.94%

57.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.05%

77.95%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.69%

24.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.3%

58.7%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.56%

37.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.77%

74.23%

Score Analysis

Watford 46.95%

Derby County 26.16%

Draw 26.88%

Watford	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 12.87% 2-0 @ 9.1% 2-1 @ 8.94% 3-0 @ 4.29% 3-1 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-1 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.45% Total : 46.95%	1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 9.1% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.88%	0-1 @ 8.94% 1-2 @ 6.21% 0-2 @ 4.39% 1-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.71% Total : 26.16%