Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 17.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Dalian Pro win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.

Result
Chengdu Qianbao	Draw	Dalian Pro
58.45% ( -0.27)	24.23% ( 0.24)	17.32% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 43.7% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.93% (

-0.83)

56.06% (

0.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.86% (

-0.68)

77.14% (

0.68)

Chengdu Qianbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.96% (

-0.42)

19.04% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.39% (

-0.69)

50.61% (

0.69)

Dalian Pro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.98% (

-0.47)

46.02% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.26% (

-0.37)

81.74% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Chengdu Qianbao 58.44%

Dalian Pro 17.32%

Draw 24.22%

Chengdu Qianbao	Draw	Dalian Pro
1-0 @ 14.53% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 12.05% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.84% Total : 58.44%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.56% Total : 24.22%	0-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.44% Total : 17.32%