Chinese Super League | Gameweek 17
Jul 16, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Shanghai Stadium
We said: Dalian Pro 1-1 Changchun Yatai
Dalian Pro have been the draw specialists in recent weeks, and we are predicting another stalemate for the team at the bottom of the division. Changchun will view this match as a good chance to put three points on the board, but we are expecting a low-scoring draw on Sunday.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Pro win with a probability of 45.49% . A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.8% .
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Pro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.11%) . The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 (8.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%) . The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result Dalian Pro Draw Changchun Yatai 45.49% ( 0.09) 25.81% ( 0.02) 28.71% ( -0.1)
Both teams to score 52.3% ( -0.11)
48.49% ( -0.11) 51.51% ( 0.11)
26.69% ( -0.1) 73.31% ( 0.1)
77.4% ( -0) 22.6% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 43.79% ( -0.01) 56.21% ( 0.02)
67.57% ( -0.13) 32.43% ( 0.14)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 31.05% ( -0.15) 68.95% ( 0.15)
Dalian Pro 45.49%
Changchun Yatai 28.71%
Draw 25.8%
Dalian Pro Draw Changchun Yatai 1-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.52% 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 45.49% 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.8% 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 28.71%
rhs 2.0
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