We said: Wuhan Three Towns 3-2 Changchun Yatai
We saw five goals scored when these sides met in November last year, and based on their records since then, this looks set to be another high-scoring encounter. Despite their poor home record this season, the hosts do have a better defence, which is why we feel they may just edge this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 60.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 18.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wuhan Three Towns in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wuhan Three Towns.