Changchun3 - 1Henan
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, June 29 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
for
Wednesday, June 28 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
for
We said: Changchun Yatai 2-1 Henan Songshan Longmen
The respective attacking and defensive records of these teams means that we should see an intriguing clash in styles, and Henan may relish soaking up any pressure coming from their free-scoring opponents. However, we feel that Changchun may just edge this contest, potentially in the closing stages when the visitors are settling for a point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 36.61%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
35.76% ( 0.38) | 27.63% ( -0.1) | 36.61% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 48.94% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
