Guangzhou R&F

1 - 5

Shandong

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Luneng Taishan win with a probability of 51.03%. A win for Guangzhou R&F had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Luneng Taishan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.37%) and 0-1 (6.28%). The likeliest Guangzhou R&F win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Luneng Taishan would win this match.