Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 52.12%. A win for Shandong Luneng Taishan had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Shandong Luneng Taishan win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
