Newly-promoted Chengdu Qianbao appear to have finally settled into the top flight and will head into Monday with renewed confidence following their first win of the season. We are backing them to carry on the momentum from their performance against the Tigers and come away with a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Chengdu Qianbao had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chengdu Qianbao in this match.

Result
Meizhou Hakka	Draw	Chengdu Qianbao
40.72% ( 2.31)	27.49% ( -0.44)	31.78% ( -1.88)

Both teams to score 48.65% (

0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.12% (

1.26)

56.88% (

-1.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.2% (

77.8% (

-1.01)

Meizhou Hakka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.58% (

1.92)

27.41% (

-1.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.11% (

2.42)

62.89% (

-2.43)

Chengdu Qianbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.02% (

-0.64)

32.97% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.44% (

-0.72)

69.56% (

0.72)

Score Analysis

Meizhou Hakka 40.71%

Chengdu Qianbao 31.78%

Draw 27.48%

Meizhou Hakka	Draw	Chengdu Qianbao
1-0 @ 11.69% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.33) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.16) Other @ 1.93% Total : 40.71%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.48%	0-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.69) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.48) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 31.78%