Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Luneng Taishan win with a probability of 49.19%. A win for Guangzhou R&F had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Luneng Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Guangzhou R&F win was 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.