Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Luneng Taishan win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Tianjin Tianhai had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Luneng Taishan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Tianjin Tianhai win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Shandong Luneng Taishan in this match.
