Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Luneng Taishan win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Henan Jianye had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Luneng Taishan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Henan Jianye win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Luneng Taishan would win this match.