We said: Shenzhen 0-2 Wuhan Three Towns
Despite failing to find the breakthrough goal in Takahata's first game in charge in midweek, Wuhan TT's performance levels clearly improved compared to prior to the mid-season break, and we expect them to have too much class for the hosts on Monday.
Shenzhen are generally a club that battles against relegation nowadays, and while they should have enough to save themselves between now and the end of the campaign, we are predicting a fifth defeat in six league games for Tao's side.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 78.06%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 7.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.65%) and 0-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 1-0 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.