Chinese Super League | Gameweek 15

Nov 26, 2022 at 11.30am UK

Shenzhen Universiade Sports Centre

Shenzhen
0 - 4
Wuhan TT

FT(HT: 0-1)

Marcao (45+4', 76' pen.), Ademilson (52'), Deng (89')
Chao (25'), Yan (63')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Shenzhen and Wuhan Three Towns.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shenzhen

All competitions

Last Game: Shenzhen 2-1 Guangzhou
Tuesday, November 22 at 11.30am in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Wuhan Three Towns

All competitions

Last Game: Wuhan TT 3-0 Meizhou Hakka
Monday, November 21 at 11.30am in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 68.96%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 12.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.17%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 1-0 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.

Result
Shenzhen	Draw	Wuhan Three Towns
12.36% ( -0.1)	18.67% ( -0.08)	68.96% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 48.56% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.93% (

0.13)

43.06% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.53% (

0.13)

65.46% (

-0.13)

Shenzhen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.8% (

-0.08)

45.19% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.91% (

-0.06)

81.08% (

0.06)

Wuhan Three Towns Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.61% (

0.08)

11.39% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.87% (

0.18)

36.12% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Shenzhen 12.36%

Wuhan Three Towns 68.95%

Draw 18.67%

Shenzhen	Draw	Wuhan Three Towns
1-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.17% Total : 12.36%	1-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 18.67%	0-2 @ 12.14% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 8.8% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.99% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 4.78% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 3.8% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0) 0-5 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 3.62% Total : 68.95%