Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 57.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 19.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.