Chinese Super League | Gameweek 19
Jul 28, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium
Henan3 - 1Shenzhen
FT(HT: 2-1)
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Henan and Shenzhen.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Henan 1-1 Nantong Zhiyun
Friday, July 21 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Friday, July 21 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Tianjin Jinmen 3-3 Shenzhen
Friday, July 21 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Friday, July 21 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
18
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 61.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 15.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Henan Songshan Longmen would win this match.
Result | ||
Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Shenzhen |
61.88% ( -0.83) | 22.67% ( 0.43) | 15.45% ( 0.4) |
Both teams to score 44.33% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.84% ( -0.98) | 53.16% ( 0.98) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.27% ( -0.84) | 74.73% ( 0.84) |
Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.26% ( -0.62) | 16.74% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.35% ( -1.13) | 46.65% ( 1.13) |
Shenzhen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.24% ( -0.03) | 46.76% ( 0.04) |