Despite playing most of the last match with 10 men, Wuhan Three Towns attacked the game as best as they could and were trading blows with their opponents up to the sending off. Beijing Guoan are also a side that likes playing front-foot football, and it would not be surprising to see a handful of goals fly in here.
The visitors were building up a head of steam leading up to their last match and should give a much better account of themselves here, while the hosts will play their usual attacking brand of football. We feel they will cancel each other out in a high-scoring affair.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.4%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
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