MX23RW : Friday, November 8 18:53:25| >> :60:58:58:
British Virgin Islands national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League C
Sep 9, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Stade Rene Gaillard
Turks and Caicos Islands national football team

British Virgin I.
3 - 1
Turks & Caicos

Caesar (4'), Chalwell (10', 51')
Caesar (45+3'), Forbes (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Forbes (45+4' pen.)
Howell (43'), Cadet (74')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League C clash between British Virgin Islands and Turks and Caicos.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: British Virgin I. 1-3 Puerto Rico
Thursday, March 23 at 7pm in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Bonaire 1-2 Turks & Caicos
Wednesday, March 29 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a British Virgin Islands win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Turks and Caicos had a probability of 38.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a British Virgin Islands win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.38%) and 2-0 (5.18%). The likeliest Turks and Caicos win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that British Virgin Islands would win this match.

Result
British Virgin IslandsDrawTurks and Caicos
38.59% (0.373 0.37) 23.27% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 38.14% (-0.281 -0.28)
Both teams to score 64.3% (0.36300000000001 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.79% (0.474 0.47)37.21% (-0.475 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.58% (0.51 0.51)59.41% (-0.512 -0.51)
British Virgin Islands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29% (0.38 0.38)19.71% (-0.382 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.28% (0.615 0.62)51.71% (-0.619 -0.62)
Turks and Caicos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.08% (0.073999999999998 0.07)19.92% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.94% (0.12 0.12)52.05% (-0.121 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    British Virgin Islands 38.59%
    Turks and Caicos 38.14%
    Draw 23.27%
British Virgin IslandsDrawTurks and Caicos
2-1 @ 8.35% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.38% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.18% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.52% (0.068 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.8% (0.035 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.043 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 38.59%
1-1 @ 10.28% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.74% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.93% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.96% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.33% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 5.11% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.46% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.63% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.46% (0.015 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 38.14%

How you voted: British Virgin I. vs Turks & Caicos

British Virgin Islands
37.5%
Draw
25.0%
Turks and Caicos
37.5%
16
rhs 2.0
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