CONCACAF Nations League | League C

Jun 12, 2022 at 11pm UK

St Lucia
2 - 0
Anguilla

Remy (44'), Frederick (60')
Doxilly (18'), Mc Farlane (59')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League C clash between Saint Lucia and Anguilla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Lucia

Last Game: Dominica 0-1 St Lucia
Thursday, June 9 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Anguilla

Last Game: Dominica 1-1 Anguilla
Sunday, June 5 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Anguilla had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Anguilla win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Lucia would win this match.

Result
Saint Lucia	Draw	Anguilla
42.61% ( -0.02)	25.49% ( 0)	31.9% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 54.96% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.2% (

48.8% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.1% (

70.9% (

Saint Lucia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.2% (

-0.01)

22.8% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.49% (

-0.01)

56.51% (

0.02)

Anguilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.2% (

0.02)

28.8% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.34% (

0.02)

64.66% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Saint Lucia 42.61%

Anguilla 31.9%

Draw 25.49%

Saint Lucia	Draw	Anguilla
1-0 @ 9.71% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 42.61%	1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 6.57% 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.49%	0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.9%