Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America de Natal win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an America de Natal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Juventude win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%).