Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for America de Cali had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest America de Cali win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.