Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 62.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for America de Cali had a probability of 13.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.92%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for an America de Cali win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.