Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 4, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Monumental David Arellano

Colo-Colo
1 - 0
Cerro Porteno

Cepeda (90+4')
Vidal (46'), Gil (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Peralta (21'), Gimenez (38'), Arzamendia (90+2'), Morel (90+7')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Colo-Colo and Cerro Porteno.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colo-Colo

Last Game: Colo-Colo 2-1 Sportivo Trinidense
Thursday, March 14 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Cerro Porteno

Last Game: Barcelona 2-2 Cerro Porteno
Friday, June 30 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colo-Colo in this match.

Result
Colo-Colo	Draw	Cerro Porteno
45.39% ( 0.54)	25.93% ( -0.17)	28.68% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 51.9% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.97% (

0.47)

52.02% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.24% (

0.4)

73.75% (

-0.41)

Colo-Colo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.13% (

0.45)

22.87% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.39% (

0.67)

56.6% (

-0.68)

Cerro Porteno Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.28% (

-0.04)

32.71% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.73% (

-0.05)

69.27% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Colo-Colo 45.38%

Cerro Porteno 28.68%

Draw 25.93%

Colo-Colo	Draw	Cerro Porteno
1-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.08% Total : 45.38%	1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.93%	0-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.56% Total : 28.68%