Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 7, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Hernando Siles
Bolivar2 - 0Cerro Porteno
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Bolivar 2-1 Cerro Porteno
Having claimed maximum points against the stronger sides in Group C, Bolivar should be confident of another victory against struggling Cerro Porteno to make it three wins from three at Estadio Hernando Siles. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 22.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 1-2 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolivar would win this match.
Result | ||
Bolivar | Draw | Cerro Porteno |
54.74% ( 0) | 22.83% ( -0) | 22.43% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 55.83% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56% ( 0.02) | 43.99% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.62% ( 0.02) | 66.38% ( -0.02) |
Bolivar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.02% ( 0.01) | 15.97% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.73% ( 0.01) | 45.27% ( -0.01) |
Cerro Porteno Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.44% ( 0.01) | 33.56% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.8% ( 0.01) | 70.2% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Bolivar 54.74%
Cerro Porteno 22.43%
Draw 22.82%
Bolivar | Draw | Cerro Porteno |
2-1 @ 9.85% 1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.51% 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.53% 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.49% Total : 54.74% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.82% | 1-2 @ 5.86% 0-1 @ 5.85% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.27% Total : 22.43% |
How you voted: Bolivar vs Cerro Porteno
Bolivar
80.0%Draw
0.0%Cerro Porteno
20.0%5
Head to Head
May 3, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
Cerro Porteno
0-4
Bolivar
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-30 06:05:35
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
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Slovakia
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Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
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Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
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Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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