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Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 14, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Monumental David Arellano

Colo-Colo
2 - 1
Sportivo Trinidense

Gil (4'), Palacios (31' pen.)
Amor (77'), Palacios (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Flores (33')
Samudio (30'), Gimenez (77'), Riveros (90+8')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Colo-Colo and Sportivo Trinidense.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 Colo-Colo
Thursday, March 7 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 Colo-Colo
Thursday, March 7 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Sportivo Trinidense had a probability of 19.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Sportivo Trinidense win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colo-Colo would win this match.

Result
Colo-ColoDrawSportivo Trinidense
58.24% (-0.185 -0.19) 22.62% (0.041999999999998 0.04) 19.14% (0.143 0.14)
Both teams to score 51.5% (0.116 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.69% (0.030000000000001 0.03)47.31% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.47% (0.026 0.03)69.53% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Colo-Colo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.06% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)15.94% (0.051 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.79% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)45.21% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Sportivo Trinidense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.26% (0.174 0.17)38.74% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.53% (0.165 0.16)75.48% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Colo-Colo 58.23%
    Sportivo Trinidense 19.14%
    Draw 22.62%
Colo-ColoDrawSportivo Trinidense
1-0 @ 11.33% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.41% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.87%
3-0 @ 6.37% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.93% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.78% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 58.23%
1-1 @ 10.75% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.68% (0.022 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.62%
0-1 @ 5.86% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.1% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.78% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 19.14%

Head to Head
Mar 7, 2024 12.30am
Third Round 1st Leg
Sportivo Trinidense
1-1
Colo-Colo
Salcedo (36')
de la Cruz (73'), David Villalba Jacquet (84')
Zavala (60')
Palacios (2'), Falcon (43'), Opazo (50'), Amor (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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