MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 02:11:07| >> :60:3583:3583:
Flamengo
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Oct 1, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
Independiente del Valle

Flamengo
4 - 0
Independiente

Lincoln (26'), Pedro (30'), Henrique (51', 72')
Noga (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Torres (22'), Guerrero (74'), Alvarado (89')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Flamengo and Independiente del Valle.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 63.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 15.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawIndependiente del Valle
63.25%20.83%15.92%
Both teams to score 50.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.12%44.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.76%67.23%
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.45%13.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.38%40.62%
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.87%41.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.33%77.67%
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 63.24%
    Independiente del Valle 15.92%
    Draw 20.83%
FlamengoDrawIndependiente del Valle
2-0 @ 11.13%
1-0 @ 11.13%
2-1 @ 9.89%
3-0 @ 7.42%
3-1 @ 6.59%
4-0 @ 3.71%
4-1 @ 3.3%
3-2 @ 2.93%
5-0 @ 1.48%
4-2 @ 1.46%
5-1 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 63.24%
1-1 @ 9.89%
0-0 @ 5.57%
2-2 @ 4.39%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 20.83%
0-1 @ 4.95%
1-2 @ 4.4%
0-2 @ 2.2%
1-3 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 15.92%

Head to Head
Sep 18, 2020 1am
Group Stage
Independiente
5-0
Flamengo
Caicedo (41'), Preciado (49'), Torres (58'), Sanchez (81'), Caicedo (90+2')
Preciado (90+3')

Henrique (90')
Feb 27, 2020 12.30am
Final
Flamengo
3-0
Independiente
Barbosa (19'), Gerson (62', 89')
Gerson (15'), Henrique (88')
Arao (23')

Franco (79')
Cabeza (86')
Feb 20, 2020 1.30am
Final
Independiente
2-2
Flamengo
Murillo (21'), Pellerano (90' pen.)
Pellerano (24'), Caicedo (45'), Guerrero (49'), Cabeza (87')
Henrique (66'), Pedro (86')
Gerson (20'), Luis (79'), Henrique (88'), Rafinha (90')
rhs 2.0
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14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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