Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Independiente del Valle win was 0-1 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Junior would win this match.