Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 3, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Fluminense5 - 1River Plate
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Fluminense and River Plate.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fortaleza 4-2 Fluminense
Saturday, April 29 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, April 29 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Tucuman 1-1 River Plate
Saturday, April 29 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, April 29 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fluminense | Draw | River Plate |
39.38% ( -0.52) | 24.94% ( 0.15) | 35.68% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 57.87% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
