Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 20, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
River Plate4 - 2Cristal
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between River Plate and Sporting Cristal.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newell's OB 0-1 River Plate
Sunday, April 16 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, April 16 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Cristal 1-3 Fluminense
Thursday, April 6 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, April 6 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 78.69%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 7.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.27%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 1-2 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Sporting Cristal |
78.69% ( 0.02) | 13.45% ( -0.01) | 7.86% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 50.28% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
