Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 4, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Hernando Siles
The Strongest3 - 1River Plate
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between The Strongest and River Plate.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Union
Saturday, April 1 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, April 1 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for The Strongest had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest The Strongest win was 1-0 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
The Strongest | Draw | River Plate |
26.5% ( 3.81) | 24.26% ( 1.35) | 49.24% ( -5.15) |
Both teams to score 55.59% ( -0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.59% ( -2.35) | 46.41% ( 2.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.3% ( -2.25) | 68.7% ( 2.25) |
The Strongest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.56% ( 1.91) | 31.44% ( -1.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.18% ( 2.16) | 67.82% ( -2.15) |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.09% ( -2.79) | 18.91% ( 2.79) |