Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for LDU Quito in this match.

Result
LDU Quito	Draw	Botafogo
40.2% ( -0.09)	26.99% ( 0.02)	32.81% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 50.47% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.29% (

-0.07)

54.71% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.97% (

-0.06)

76.03% (

0.06)

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.31% (

-0.09)

26.68% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.06% (

-0.11)

61.94% (

0.12)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.85% (

0.01)

31.15% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.51% (

0.01)

67.49% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

LDU Quito 40.2%

Botafogo 32.81%

Draw 26.98%

LDU Quito	Draw	Botafogo
1-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 40.2%	1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.98%	0-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 32.81%