Copa Sudamericana | Final
Oct 28, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Fortaleza1 - 1LDU Quito
We say: Fortaleza 1-0 LDU Quito
Experience may favour the Ecuadorians heading into this fixture, but Fortaleza have faced some stiff challenges domestically and at the Sudamericana this year, and we believe that will enable them to find that extra gear and eventually break down that stingy Quito backline. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 17.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (6%).
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | LDU Quito |
60.14% ( -0.01) | 22.76% | 17.1% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.37% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
